Я последовал совету определения функции автокорреляции в другом посте:

def autocorr(x):
    result = np.correlate(x, x, mode = 'full')
    maxcorr = np.argmax(result)
    #print 'maximum = ', result[maxcorr]
    result = result / result[maxcorr]     # <=== normalization

    return result[result.size/2:]

однако максимальное значение не было "1,0". поэтому я ввел строку с тегом & lt; === нормализация & quot;

Я попробовал функцию с набором данных "Анализ временных рядов" (Коробка - Дженкинс) Глава 2. Я ожидал получить такой результат, как рис. 2,7 в этой книге. Однако я получил следующее:

У кого-нибудь есть объяснение этому странному непредвиденному поведению автокорреляции?

Дополнение (2012-09-07):

Я попал в Python - программирование и сделал следующее:

from ClimateUtilities import *
import phys

#
# the above imports are from R.T.Pierrehumbert's book "principles of planetary 
# climate" 
# and the homepage of that book at "cambridge University press" ... they mostly  
# define   the
# class "Curve()" used in the below section which is not necessary in order to solve 
# my 
# numpy-problem ... :)
#
import numpy as np;
import scipy.spatial.distance;

# functions to be defined ... :
#
#
def autocorr(x):
    result = np.correlate(x, x, mode = 'full')
    maxcorr = np.argmax(result)
    # print 'maximum = ', result[maxcorr]
    result = result / result[maxcorr]
    #   
    return result[result.size/2:]

##
#  second try ... "Box and Jenkins" chapter 2.1 Autocorrelation Properties
#                                               of stationary models
##
# from table 2.1 I get:

s1 = np.array([47,64,23,71,38,64,55,41,59,48,71,35,57,40,58,44,\
              80,55,37,74,51,57,50,60,45,57,50,45,25,59,50,71,56,74,50,58,45,\
              54,36,54,48,55,45,57,50,62,44,64,43,52,38,59,\
              55,41,53,49,34,35,54,45,68,38,50,\
              60,39,59,40,57,54,23],dtype=float);

# alternatively in order to test:
s2 = np.array([47,64,23,71,38,64,55,41,59,48,71])

##################################################################################3
# according to BJ, ch.2
###################################################################################3
print '*************************************************'
global s1short, meanshort, stdShort, s1dev, s1shX, s1shXk

s1short = s1
#s1short = s2   # for testing take s2

meanshort = s1short.mean()
stdShort = s1short.std()

s1dev = s1short - meanshort
#print 's1short = \n', s1short, '\nmeanshort = ', meanshort, '\ns1deviation = \n',\
#    s1dev, \
#      '\nstdShort = ', stdShort

s1sh_len = s1short.size
s1shX = np.arange(1,s1sh_len + 1)
#print 'Len = ', s1sh_len, '\nx-value = ', s1shX

##########################################################
# c0 to be computed ...
##########################################################

sumY = 0
kk = 1
for ii in s1shX:
    #print 'ii-1 = ',ii-1, 
    if ii > s1sh_len:
        break
    sumY += s1dev[ii-1]*s1dev[ii-1]
    #print 'sumY = ',sumY, 's1dev**2 = ', s1dev[ii-1]*s1dev[ii-1]

c0 = sumY / s1sh_len
print 'c0 = ', c0 
##########################################################
# now compute autocorrelation
##########################################################

auCorr = []
s1shXk = s1shX
lenS1 = s1sh_len
nn = 1  # factor by which lenS1 should be divided in order
        # to reduce computation length ... 1, 2, 3, 4
        # should not exceed 4

#print 's1shX = ',s1shX

for kk in s1shXk:
    sumY = 0
    for ii in s1shX:
        #print 'ii-1 = ',ii-1, ' kk = ', kk, 'kk+ii-1 = ', kk+ii-1
        if ii >= s1sh_len or ii + kk - 1>=s1sh_len/nn:
            break
        sumY += s1dev[ii-1]*s1dev[ii+kk-1]
        #print sumY, s1dev[ii-1], '*', s1dev[ii+kk-1]

    auCorrElement = sumY / s1sh_len
    auCorrElement = auCorrElement / c0
    #print 'sum = ', sumY, ' element = ', auCorrElement
    auCorr.append(auCorrElement)
    #print '', auCorr
    #
    #manipulate s1shX 
    #
    s1shX = s1shXk[:lenS1-kk]
    #print 's1shX = ',s1shX

#print 'AutoCorr = \n', auCorr
#########################################################
#
# first 15 of above Values are consistent with
# Box-Jenkins "Time Series Analysis", p.34 Table 2.2
#
#########################################################
s1sh_sdt = s1dev.std()  # Standardabweichung short 
#print '\ns1sh_std = ', s1sh_sdt
print '#########################################'

# "Curve()" is a class from RTP ClimateUtilities.py
c2 = Curve()
s1shXfloat = np.ndarray(shape=(1,lenS1),dtype=float)
s1shXfloat = s1shXk # to make floating point from integer
                    # might be not necessary

#print 'test plotting ... ', s1shXk, s1shXfloat
c2.addCurve(s1shXfloat)
c2.addCurve(auCorr, '', 'Autocorr')
c2.PlotTitle = 'Autokorrelation'

w2 = plot(c2)


##########################################################
#
# now try function "autocorr(arr)" and plot it
#
##########################################################

auCorr = autocorr(s1short)

c3 = Curve()
c3.addCurve( s1shXfloat )
c3.addCurve( auCorr, '', 'Autocorr' )
c3.PlotTitle = 'Autocorr with "autocorr"'

w3 = plot(c3)

#
# well that should it be!
#